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chenyan94
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09/01/2020 3:42 am  
Kevin White Jersey , I tried to evaluate Ryan Pace’s early trade moves. Now I am moving to more recent work. I am still not evaluating the 2018 trades for two simple reasons, though. The first is that it’s just too early. The second is that if anyone needs help in evaluating the trade for Khalil Mack, that person should just go watch video of Khalil Mack.This piece is still going to be a little more speculative, because it is going to look at trades that are barely two years old. However, there is reason to think that 2017 will be slightly easier to evaluate, and it has to do with the fact that those trades have already paid dividends. Bears fans, no matter their feelings on Pace, have to admit that the story of the 2017 draft for the Bears is told through trades. Still, ignore the trades for the moment and simply imagine that it is early April, 2017. Imagine if someone were to tell the Chicagoan on the streets that Pace was going to come away from the draft with A) an All-Pro safety, B) an All-Pro returner, and C) a quarterback good enough to make it to the Pro Bowl as an alternate. That’s quite the haul for any GM, even one in prime draft position, and each of those players was taken with a pick that changed hands.Therefore, in order to look at recent trades, it’s necessary to perform a deep dive on the 2017 draft. As before, each trade will be based on the overall value, how much sense the move made given the available options, and then how the move turned out. Note this is not a grade on the draft selections themselves, therefore, but instead a grade on the trades made within the draft.The Trubisky TradeThis is the trade that was supposed to define the franchise, and it would have had not the Raiders decided to part with Khalil Mack. However, it is still one of the biggest trades the Bears have made in recent memory, and it is still worth assessing at length.First, the trade was perfectly within book value. According to the famed Johnson chart, Pace paid exactly market value for his trade. According to Rich Hill’s updated chart as of 2017, he actually came out ahead. Only by using the “opportunity is free” charts of Stuart Chase or Harvard Analytics is it possible to say that Pace overpaid. He did not get a discount, but he did not get ripped off. That means that the value is a solid C.Second, the move made sense. It’s hard to remember in hindsight, but it made perfect sense given what was known. Pace positioned himself to know whether or not people were trying to move up to the top of the draft, and both Lynch of the 49ers and reporters in the room seem to think that there was another deal available. More than that, Trubisky was a sought-after quarterback in a draft full of question marks. Mahomes was considered a risk, and Watson had as many question marks, albeit different ones, as the signal caller from UNC. The Bears needed a quarterback, and Trubisky was in many ways the safest one available. Pace maneuvered well to get the player he wanted Gale Sayers Jersey , using everything from subterfuge to draft position. This is at least a B+.Third, and most importantly, it turned out okay at best. Pace went through a lot of effort to move out of the third overall position in the draft in order to select the third-best quarterback in the draft. Set aside Navy and Orange goggles for a moment. Put down the Pro Bowl (Alternate) banners. Trubisky has the lowest passer rating, completion percentage, and Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt. Despite playing in more games than the other two players (26 to Watson’s 23 and Mahomes’ 17), he has the fewest touchdowns (31 to 45 for Watson and 50 for Mahomes). He only leads in interceptions. All three have made the Pro Bowl, but the only All-Pro among them is the guy who went after the other two. In short, while excuses can be made, nothing in the actual performance of any of these men suggests that the trade was worth it, only that it was well-managed. The outcome grade has to be a C-.That might seem high to some, especially those who compare Trubisky directly to what the other two have done, but remember that even if Pace missed opportunity, he still found a workable quarterback, and while Mahomes is looking to be something special and Watson is playing well, finding a competent starter at quarterback is still an accomplishment, even if it can stick in the craw to wonder about what might have been.Overall, then, the Trubisky trade is a C+, It was a well-managed bit of management that turns out to have been a little overly ambitious and misguided, but it was not at all a disaster.Missing Budda BakerAfter getting Trubisky, Pace moved out of #36 and let the Cardinals take Budda Baker. By some standards, this was rubbing salt in a wound, since he traded out of the chance to get Jamal Adams in the first round and then gave up on Baker in the second. However, the trade was another Pace special. When it comes to value, though, Pace comes out ahead on this trade. He gave up #36 to get a later 2nd-rounder, a 4th-rounder, a 6th-rounder, and a future pick. By pure value, he pulled ahead by 2-3%, and he did it while taking advantage of the market for future picks and increasing the lost chances he suffered from the Trubisky trade. This was a good move, and so it has to be considered a solid B.Then, there’s whether or not it made sense at the time. The Bears had just shed picks due to the Trubisky trade, and they had enough needs that missing on a single player was not as important as maximizing the available value. This is a B+ bit of management, in that it mitigated another move without giving up much opportunity.Finally, there’s how it turned out. Baker has been a good player. He has certainly been better than Adam Shaheen  http://www.thebearslockerroom.com/authentic-mike-singletary-jersey  , the second-rounder Pace took instead. However, Baker has not been better than Shaheen and Tarik Cohen, the All-Pro returner and general mismatch Pace found. However, even for those intent on criticizing Pace over this trade, that missing 6th-rounder fueled Pace’s next trade. I’m going to leave it out of this equation, though, to give Pace full credit for it in the next grade. For now, I’m calling this a solid move in that he gave up the chance to take one really good player and turned it into a really good player and a functional piece for development. That’s another B+ move.This trade-down is an 87%, or the lowest possible B+.Moving Up for Eddie JacksonPace gave up pick #197 (gained in the Budda Baker/Adam Shaheen trade) to move up from #117 to #112. This was a slight overpay (about 5%), but it was within the range of tolerable limits, and it was managed using only an extra pick that the team had not counted on having. That’s a C, except that doesn’t feel right, and here’s why--the overpay for the move is actually paid for by the surplus value of the Shaheen trade. I cannot grade this any lower than a B. However, at the time it made perfect sense. The Bears needed a safety (the position drafted) and they had low-end picks to maneuver with. More importantly, the player taken was known to be valuable, and he had only fallen due to injury. This was an aggressive move to fill a team need using assets that were expendable. That’s an A. Finally, it resulted in a 1st-team All-Pro safety and a player who helped to define a defensive turnaround. That’s an A+. Simply put, the Eddie Jackson trade is the kind of thing that GMs dream of pulling off, and it cost Pace a 6th-rounder he didn’t even own at the start of the draft. This is an A trade overall (93%), just barely sneaking out of A- territory largely because the only thing Pace didn’t do was commit robbery on the value paid.Extra CreditThe non-trade for Dontrelle Inman deserves attention here as a 2017 move Ryan Pace made without any cost at all. I don’t typically like extra credit, but I don’t know what else to call it when a GM successfully pays nothing to rent a player at a position of need for half a season. Pace offered a conditional pick for Inman, but the terms were not met. That means that Pace was able to secure the Bears a player at a position of need (wide receiver) for no actual loss of draft capital. Inman was no worse than the Bears’ fourth-best wide receiver that year, given his production, and he was free. Not bad.ConclusionOverall, Pace’s 2017 trade moves were enough to earn him an 86%. That’s a B. The extra credit for Inman moves him up into B+ territory, and it’s really only the amazing performance of the underrated 2017 quarterback class that drives it that low. Supposedly, this was the year Pace got owned in the trade market. Given that his trades brought him two All-Pros, that’s a really tough position to support.If someone wanted to make an argument that pulling off all of these moves at once should earn Pace a holistic grade of an A (in that he only had neutral and positive moves in the year, and that’s rare), I’d find it tough to argue. I still think that a B+ is pretty accurate, though, and I think that it’s a clear sign that this is one of Pace’s strengths. Two more new defensive faces for Halas Hall as the first of the NCAA seniors games begin today"Being who you thought we were since 2005!Log In or Sign UpLog InSign UpFanpostsFanshotsSectionsBearsOddsAboutMastheadCommunity GuidelinesStubHubMoreAll 322 blogs on Horizontal - WhiteFanposts Fanshots Sections Latest NewsThe Bears DenNotesXs and OsSuperfansBreaking News:The Bears' 2019 Draft class is complete!脳The Bear’s Den, January 19, 2019New,22commentsTwo more new defensive faces for Halas Hall as the first of the NCAA seniors games begin todayCSTShareTweetShareShareThe Bear’s Den, January 19 Womens Dick Butkus Jersey , 2019The Fridge & the pressBEAR DOWN, CHICAGO BEARS, BEAR DOWN!!!!BEARRRSSSSBears Hire 2 New Assisants - 670 The Score - The Bears have named Deshea Townsend their defensive backs coach.5@5: Is Matt Nagy The Best NFC North Coach? - 670 The Score - The Mully & Haugh crew debates a five-pack of questions every weekday.Roster Moves: Bears sign CFL WR Williams-Lambert - ChicagoBears.com - The Bears on Friday signed receiver Jordan Williams-Lambert to a reserve/future contract. He’s the 13th player the Bears have inked to a reserve/future contract this month, including the third from the CFL.Mayer: Future is bright for Trubisky, Bears offense - ChicagoBears.com - The Bears were pleased with the strides that Mitchell Trubisky made in his first season in their new offense and are excited about the quarterback’s continued growth in 2019.Medina: Bears Hire Two-Time Super Bowl Champ Deshea Townsend as Defensive Backs Coach - Bleacher Nation - An ex-NFL standout will coach Bears DBs next year.Medina: Five Prospects For Bears Fans to Watch as College Football All-Star Game Season Starts on Saturday - Bleacher Nation - It's time to turn our attention to college football all-star games and the upcoming NFL Draft.Hughes: Response to Data, Aerobics Video, Title Game Picks & More! - Da Bears Blog - The Bears had the best defense in the NFL in 2018 and exited the playoffs on Wildcard Weekend. There’s no doubt in my mind they can return to Wildcard Weekend without Adrian Amos and Bryce Callahan on the roster. (The Eagles just made it a weekend further with Cre’von LeBlanc as their BEST corner.)Medina: A Salary Cap Crunch Could Limit the Bears Flexibility with Outgoing Free Agent Adrian Amos - Bleacher Nation - Despite playing well enough to earn a second contract in Chicago, Adrian Amos' future with the Bears is up in the air.Brooks: Can Chuck Pagano take the Bears' defense to the next level? - NFL.com - What can the rest of the NFL learn from the four Championship Sunday participants? Bucky Brooks identifies the key lessons. Plus, analysis of the Bruce Arians-Jameis Winston marriage, C.J. Anderson's rebirth and more.Alper: Deshea Townsend joins Bears as defensive backs coach – ProFootballTalk - Former NFL defensive back Deshea Townsend will be coaching the Bears defensive backs in 2019. The Bears announced Townsend's hiring on Friday. He replaces Ed Donatell, who left the Bears to join Vic Fangio's Broncos staff as defensive coordinator.Finley: Bears name former NFL CB Deshea Townsend new defensive backs coach - Sun Times - The Bears continued remodeling their defensive coaching staff Friday, announcing the hiring of new defensive backs coach Deshea Townsend.Jahns: Chicago Bears offseason: Looking at what's ahead for the Bears - Sun Times - In general manager Ryan Pace’s own words, he’s reached a point where he only has to “fine tune” and “tweak” his Bears roster.Campbell: Bears add two assistant coaches to defensive coordinator Chuck Pagano's staff - Chicago Tribune - The Bears hired defensive backs coach Deshea Townsend and defensive quality control coach Ronell Williams as new coordinator Chuck Pagano’s staff of assistants continues to come into focus.Campbell: Improved health was hugely important to the Bears' 2018 success. Is it repeatable? - Chicago Tribune - Improved health was hugely important to the Bears' success in 2018. Ryan Pace and Matt Nagy will examine the factors with hopes of repeating it next season.Stankevitz: What should the Bears do with impending free agent Adrian Amos? - NBC Sports Chicago - Adrian Amos will hit the open market in two months, leaving the Bears with plenty of questions about how to address his free agency and what to do at safety next to Eddie Jackson.Stankevitz: Bears hire Deshea Townsend as defensive backs coach - NBC Sports Chicago - The Bears announced their first assistant coach hiring since bringing aboard Chuck Pagano, with Deshea Townsend unveiled as the team's new defensive backs coach on Friday.Mayer: Bears hire Townsend as defensive backs coach - ChicagoBears.com - Bears coach Matt Nagy added Deshea Townsend to his staff Friday as defensive backs coach. Townsend has spent 18 seasons in the NFL, 13 as a player and five as an assistant coach.POLISH SAUSAGEMRI shows Jim Kelly is cancer free – ProFootballTalk - Hall of Fame quarterback Jim Kelly got good news today. Kelly’s wife, Jill, posted on Instagram that an examination showed no signs of the cancer Kelly has been battling for years. “We finally got back the results from Jim’s recent MRI...CLEAN!” Jill Kelly wrote.锘緼ll-time high 135 players leave NCAA eligibility behind to enter 2019 NFL draft – ProFootballTalk - More players than ever before are heading to the NFL while they’re still eligible to play college football. The NFL announced today that a total of 135 players who could have retained NCAA eligibility have instead decided to enter the 2019 NFL draft.KNOW THY ENEMYPackers hire Adam Stenavich to be offensive line coach, per report - Acme Packing Company - The Wisconsin native and former Kyle Shanahan assistant gets a new title in Green Bay and a chance to coach close to home.2019 NFL Draft: Quantity or quality for the Vikings? - Daily Norseman - GM Rick Spielman is a known wheeler and dealer on draft weekend. Which way should he go this year?Vikings, 2019: Super Bowl, or clean house - Daily Norseman - This is getting old alreadyIN CASE YOU MISSED IT ON WINDY CITY GRIDIRONBerckes’ Exclusive Interview with Anthony Miller: “We’re Bringing that Trophy Home” - Windy City Gridiron - Anthony Miller on the shoulder injury, who helped him make the transition, and the future of this Bears squadInfante: Bears hire Deshea Townsend as defensive backs coach - Windy City Gridiron - Townsend will be replacing the recently-departed Ed Donatell in the role.WCG CONTRIBUTORS BEARS PODCASTS & STREAMS2 Minute Drill - Website - iTunes - Andrew Link; Steven’s Streaming – Twitch – Steven Schweickert; T-Formation Conversation - Website - iTunes - Lester Wiltfong, Jr.; WCG Radio - Website - iTunes - Robert ZeglinskiTHE RULESWindy City Gridiron Community Guidelines - SBNation.com - We strive to make our communities open and inclusive to sports fans of all backgrounds. The following is not permitted in comments. No personal attacks, politics, gender based insults of any kind, racial insults, etc.The Bear’s Den Specific Guidelines – The Bear’s Den is a place for Chicago Bears fans to discuss Chicago Bears football, related NFL stories, and general football talk. It is NOT a place to discuss religion or politics or post political pictures or memes. Unless otherwise stated, the Den is not an open thread, and profanity (including profanity only stated in pictures) is prohibited.Click on our names to follow us on Twitter:WCG Contributors: Jeff Berckes; Patti Curl; Eric Christopher Duerrwaechter;Kev H; Sam Householder; Jacob Infante; Aaron Lemming; Ken Mitchell; Steven Schweickert; Jack Silverstein; EJ Snyder; Lester Wiltfong, Jr.; Whiskey Ranger; Robert Zeglinski; Like us on Facebook.

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